Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.164503 15.041313 17.053533 19.367025 21.948896 24.737027 27.971025
2024-10-20 9.864835 12.269344 15.035838 18.437657 22.490336 27.145274 32.876866
2024-10-27 7.497252 10.103797 13.307266 17.496876 22.790176 29.210734 37.537517
2024-11-03 6.378745 9.245090 12.982535 18.143384 25.004356 33.722411 45.533154
2024-11-10 5.815027 8.998792 13.374981 19.713103 28.518632 40.160402 56.523284
2024-11-17 5.135248 8.469353 13.290915 20.597571 31.176227 45.685168 66.776795
2024-11-24 4.344008 7.637519 12.647128 20.583683 32.542816 49.531952 75.030873
2024-12-01 3.582617 6.717072 11.730614 20.027731 33.024343 52.120566 81.665685
2024-12-08 3.057832 6.090342 11.173352 19.929842 34.137720 55.656463 89.863214
2024-12-15 2.692321 5.673439 10.891419 20.216147 35.835526 60.143457 99.724934
2024-12-22 2.315289 5.167910 10.384466 20.054795 36.771701 63.490368 108.029070
2024-12-29 2.159205 5.058413 10.557294 21.064119 39.701134 70.139728 121.846957
2025-01-05 1.893246 4.692782 10.231611 21.187802 41.198535 74.686342 132.789189
2025-01-12 1.576458 4.159341 9.511612 20.503898 41.220658 76.800528 139.929353
2025-01-19 1.297927 3.652333 8.767277 19.677893 40.895626 78.283765 146.096743
2025-01-26 1.206689 3.566341 8.878799 20.536020 43.737880 85.401050 162.192300
2025-02-02 1.200759 3.689926 9.453885 22.385180 48.591483 96.341323 185.447039
2025-02-09 1.132460 3.640714 9.639804 23.443164 51.994947 104.881778 204.955302
2025-02-16 1.002354 3.399920 9.356993 23.474411 53.376820 109.826450 218.359400
2025-02-23 0.852960 3.070796 8.817353 22.881371 53.444706 112.330288 227.494005
2025-03-02 0.751060 2.855682 8.520507 22.791544 54.522432 116.771972 240.359224
2025-03-09 0.682293 2.725609 8.416462 23.126769 56.501722 123.023373 256.839862
2025-03-16 0.599405 2.529771 8.112299 22.954280 57.374515 127.164559 269.554095